Opening 2480 Chaos Chests

So I opened 2480 chaos chests in one go today, here's what I got.

 

 

Disclaimer: 

~This unboxing was done on the PTS, which seemed to exclude Tradable and Non-Tradable Chaos Coins from the loot tables, as I received none.

~I did this with 300 magic find. (I am unaware if magic find affects the loot you get from opening chests.)

~It is possible to open a chaos chest and receive 5 or 50 more, which happened numerous times in this opening session. The actual number of chests opened is probably closer to 3000, but this data should reflect the loot from having 2480 chests initially.

~Market values taken at approximately 3 AM PDT on 11/14/15 on NA server. (There was significant downtime on 11/13/15 (9:30 AM to 5:50 PM).

~There were no shadowy sarcophagus mounts on the market at the time, so I used the value of its previous season's counter-part mount, the skyjacked sarcophagus.

 

Clarification

While I did open the loot on the PTS, I hopped over and acquired the value for all the items on the live (non-PTS) server.

 

My loot summed up:

 

Format:

<Item Name> - <Amount Looted> - <(Market Value Per Item)> - <Market Value for Entire Stack>

 

Commons and Uncommons

Trove Flux - 51200 - 1 - 51200

Glim - 40800 - .65 - 26520

Eye of Q'Bthulhu - 59500 - 3.2 - 190400

Radiant Shard - 12000 - 3 - 36000

Crystallized Cloud - 2025 - .2 - 405

Twinkling Tome - 15 - 1250 - 18750

Shadow Diamond - 200 - 77.39 - 15478

Diamond - 1500 - 6.45 - 9675

Shadow Key - 120 - 150 - 18000

Moon Key - 22 - 30 - 660

Bottle - 2050 - 7.4 - 15170

Sticky Ichor - 1925 - 3.29 - 6333

Glacial Shard - 3300 - 10 - 33000

Bleached Bone - 1550 - 20 - 31000

Shapestone Ore - 3750 - 3 - 11250

Pearl of Wisdom - 1- 1000 - 1000

Blank Scroll - 340 - 140 - 47600

Mushroom Chunk - 3750 - 4.5 - 16875

Wild Cupcake - 1575 - 15 - 23625

Enchanted Wood - 1450 - 24.5 - 35525

Style Surprise - 95 - 400 - 38000

Sunlight Bulb - 2850 - 3 - 8550

Robotic Salvage - 1600 - 18 - 28800

Formicite Ore - 2600 - .85 - 2210

Steed Feed - 3550 - .14 - 497

Turkeytopia Mystery Box - 100 - 12500 - 1250000 (Likely Inflated)

Primordial Flame - 1825 - 10 - 18250

Faerie Dust - 1950 - 25 - 48750

Infinium Ore - 2900 - 6.1- 17690

Golden Seashell - 1360 - .27 - 367

 

Common and Uncommon Loot Value

751580 + 1250000 (Likely Inflated) = 2001580

 

Rares

Chaos Hound Mount - 4 - 8450 - 33800

Chaos Butterfly Wings - 1 - 17500 -17500

Shadowy Sarcophagus Mount - 23 - 4000 - 92000

Fast Frank Mount - 16 - 6700 - 107200

Spite Biter Mount - 15 - 80000 - 1200000

Reveling Reindeer Mount - 13 - 40000 - 520000

Soulfire Wings - 7 - 53450 - 374150

Boneweaver Mount - 8 - 75000 - 600000

 

Rare Loot Value

2944650

 

Total Loot Value

4946230

 

Cost:

Chaos Chest - 2480 - 1000 - 2480000

 

Return:

2466230

 

Conclusion

Opening chaos chests can be profitable to even the unlucky players as just over 40 percent of the loot value came from the common and uncommon items, almost refunding the player the entire cost of the chests. Additionally, this test was run with the chest "karma" system, which rewards one guaranteed rare item on every 70th chest open. However, it should be noted that this test was run on the release day of the new Thanksgiving themed patch, which introduced a few new mounts and the Turkeytopia Mystery Box, the prices of which seemed quite steep (due to a lack of supply and competition to sell those items). More so, this test was conducted during the "double chaos chest" week, during which players would receive double the amount of chaos chests for their chaos factor points for logging in each day. This likely lowered the price on the chaos chest and could give the illusion of the potential for high rewards when in actuality, chaos chests could still be a trove flux sink. It all depends on the player's ability to sell the items he unboxes, and how much the community is willing to pay for those items.

 

Opening chaos chests in bulk sessions seems to be profitable, but several factors lead me to believe that the time at which you buy chaos chests and sell the loot from them is actually the determining factor in how big one's return is, instead of the actual loot itself.

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